Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Spal
28.8%
Draw
42.5%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Spal
vs
1.43
Pisa
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).