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DHT: 11CSV

18 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.3%
Barnet
14.7%
Draw
7.0%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

2.68

Barnet

vs
0.72

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
3.9%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).