⚽ FootballData
3 – 3
DHT: 11CSV

09 Nov 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
59.4%
Torquay
22.1%
Draw
18.5%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Torquay

vs
1.11

Dorking

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).