Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.1%
Padova
33.0%
Draw
38.9%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Padova
vs
1.12
Modena
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).