Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →98.1%
Bayern Munich
1.5%
Draw
0.4%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
5.49
Bayern Munich
vs
0.44
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.598.2%
Over 2.593.4%
Over 3.583.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
11.3%
4-0
10.3%
3-0
7.5%
5-1
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-1
1.8%
1-0
1.4%
5-2
1.1%
4-2
1.0%
3-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).