Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Karlsruhe
26.0%
Draw
29.8%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Karlsruhe
vs
1.34
Ulm
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).