Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Reims
26.4%
Draw
14.7%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Reims
vs
0.51
Bastia
Markets
BTTS28.6%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.9%
0-0
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
4-0
2.2%
0-2
2.0%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).