Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Preston
24.8%
Draw
13.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Preston
vs
0.68
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).