Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Almeria
14.0%
Draw
9.3%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Almeria
vs
0.87
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
5-0
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).