Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Lyon
22.1%
Draw
50.1%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Lyon
vs
1.77
Aris
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).