Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.1%
Longridge Town
5.9%
Draw
4.0%
Crook Town AFC
Expected Goals (xG)
4.65
Longridge Town
vs
1.17
Crook Town AFC
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.597.9%
Over 2.592.9%
Over 3.583.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-1
6.8%
5-1
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-0
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
4-2
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
5-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).