Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Mirandes
31.1%
Draw
37.8%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Mirandes
vs
1.03
Burgos
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).