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AHT: 12CSV

30 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Kidderminster
27.5%
Draw
50.7%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Kidderminster

vs
1.55

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).