Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Hertha
26.9%
Draw
18.2%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Hertha
vs
0.84
Ulm
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).