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18 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Leyton Orient
19.6%
Draw
32.3%
Barnsley

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Leyton Orient

vs
1.69

Barnsley

Markets

BTTS70.9%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
3-2
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).