Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.6%
Coventry
17.0%
Draw
9.4%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Coventry
vs
0.80
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).