Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Crystal Palace
34.3%
Draw
6.6%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Crystal Palace
vs
0.19
Stockport
Markets
BTTS10.9%
Over 0.571.5%
Over 1.535.3%
Over 2.513.1%
Over 3.53.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
30.7%
0-0
28.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-0
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-1
3.0%
4-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
0-2
0.5%
5-0
0.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).