Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Venezia
23.8%
Draw
59.7%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Venezia
vs
1.66
Napoli
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).