Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Swindon
23.6%
Draw
27.4%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Swindon
vs
1.16
Walsall
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).