Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Sevilla
28.1%
Draw
29.3%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Sevilla
vs
1.07
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).