Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
RB Leipzig
24.1%
Draw
46.3%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
RB Leipzig
vs
1.82
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).