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02 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.6%
Dumbarton
24.8%
Draw
58.6%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Dumbarton

vs
2.00

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.3%
0-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).