Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Sporting Gijón
23.7%
Draw
33.7%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.42
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).