Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Forest Green
23.9%
Draw
56.8%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Forest Green
vs
1.62
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).