Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Leicester
26.6%
Draw
43.9%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Leicester
vs
1.58
Millwall
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).