Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.3%
Bristol City
24.3%
Draw
68.4%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
Bristol City
vs
1.64
Burnley
Markets
BTTS25.8%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.3%
0-2
17.9%
0-0
14.1%
0-3
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
2-1
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
0-5
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).