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DHT: 00CSV

14 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Virtus Entella
30.7%
Draw
26.1%
Avellino

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Virtus Entella

vs
0.96

Avellino

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).