Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Burnley
22.9%
Draw
56.5%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Burnley
vs
2.15
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).