Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.2%
Villarreal
16.1%
Draw
8.7%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Villarreal
vs
0.72
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).