Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
26.7%
Draw
29.6%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.29
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).