Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
AFC Wimbledon
28.5%
Draw
30.0%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.95
Swindon
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).