Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Livorno
28.0%
Draw
22.9%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Livorno
vs
0.98
Crotone
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).