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02 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.0%
Zenit
18.7%
Draw
3.3%
Dynamo Makhachkala

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Zenit

vs
0.25

Dynamo Makhachkala

Markets

BTTS19.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.2%
2-0
21.1%
3-0
13.6%
0-0
12.0%
4-0
6.6%
1-1
6.0%
2-1
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
5-0
2.5%
0-1
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).