Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
RB Leipzig
23.4%
Draw
13.2%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
RB Leipzig
vs
0.71
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).