Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Como
32.0%
Draw
36.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Como
vs
1.13
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).