Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Bradford
25.1%
Draw
29.7%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Bradford
vs
1.04
Reading
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).