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DHT: 21CSV

22 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Ayr

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Raith Rvs
30.6%
Draw
30.3%
Ayr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Raith Rvs

vs
1.18

Ayr

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).