Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Werder Bremen
22.9%
Draw
18.4%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Werder Bremen
vs
1.07
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).