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AHT: 12

09 Nov 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Korona Kielce
31.9%
Draw
35.1%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Korona Kielce

vs
1.09

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).