Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Shrewsbury
25.8%
Draw
29.0%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Shrewsbury
vs
0.98
Accrington
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).