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13 Feb 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.5%
Club Brugge
21.3%
Draw
20.2%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Club Brugge

vs
1.22

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS63.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).