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HHT: 00CSV

27 Feb 2016

Nimes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Red Star
21.6%
Draw
23.6%
Nimes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Red Star

vs
1.06

Nimes

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).