Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Bolton
25.3%
Draw
19.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Bolton
vs
0.68
Wigan
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).