Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Mallorca
25.9%
Draw
16.2%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Mallorca
vs
0.69
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).