Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Mallorca
33.8%
Draw
36.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Mallorca
vs
0.90
Alaves
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.550.4%
Over 2.524.1%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
0-1
16.6%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).