Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Barnet
21.2%
Draw
9.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Barnet
vs
0.62
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.0%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).