⚽ FootballData
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DHT: 02CSV

14 Apr 2018

Bari

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.6%
Pescara
25.4%
Draw
24.0%
Bari

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Pescara

vs
1.17

Bari

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).