Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Farense
26.9%
Draw
25.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Farense
vs
0.90
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).