Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Willenhall Town
28.1%
Draw
18.4%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Willenhall Town
vs
0.64
Welling United
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).