Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Nantes
31.2%
Draw
30.9%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Nantes
vs
0.84
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
0-0
15.6%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).